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Pro League
Referee: B Put
0–1
Full-time
Oostende
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 30/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
23%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
47%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 17. · Oostende 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +45 65
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 34 17 4 13 +2 55
4 Genk 30 14 10 6 +18 52
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 33 14 9 10 +4 51
6 Beerschot VA 34 15 6 13 -2 51
7 Mechelen 28 14 6 8 +6 48
8 Anderlecht 30 9 16 5 +11 43
9 Charleroi 33 11 10 12 +1 43
10 Gent 29 12 6 11 +13 42
11 Oostende 27 12 6 9 +8 42
12 Kortrijk 33 12 6 15 -4 42
13 Eupen 34 9 15 10 -8 42
14 Standard 30 10 9 11 +0 39
15 Cercle Brugge 34 12 2 20 -10 38
16 St Truiden 33 8 9 16 -12 33
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -18 30
18 Mouscron 31 7 9 15 -19 30
19 Waasland-Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25
20 Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
44′
ℹ️ Fashion Sakala
VAR: Goal cancelled
Deni Hočko 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
J. Onana 🔁
↦ B. Badibanga
54′
Bruno Xadas 🔁
↦ C. Lepoint
54′
57′
🟨 Maxime D'Arpino
68′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ M. Kvasina
73′
🔁 J. Bataille
↦ B. Capon
73′
🔁 R. D'Haese
↦ A. Skúlason
H. Harbaoui 🔁
↦ D. Hočko
76′
82′
🔁 M. Thiam
↦ F. Sakala
92′
M. Gueye 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
54 C. Lepoint M
6 D. Hočko M
10 M. Bakić M
11 D. Mohamed D
20 Nuno da Costa F
29 B. Badibanga F
70 S. Tabekou F
Bench (7)
8 J. Onana
23 Bruno Xadas
9 H. Harbaoui
21 N. Gillekens
2 K. Dabila
31 H. Gnohéré
14 I. Faraj

Coach: Jorge Simão

Oostende

3-5-2
28 G. Hubert G
23 A. Skúlason M
27 B. Capon M
4 J. Hendry D
15 F. Jäkel D
5 A. Theate D
17 A. Hjulsager M
6 M. D'Arpino M
34 N. Bätzner M
21 M. Kvasina F
10 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
7 M. Gueye
25 J. Bataille
29 R. D'Haese
19 M. Thiam
33 A. Tanghe
99 B. Castro
11 I. Boonen

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.