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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Charleroi

T S T T T

3–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

3,0

1,6

Scored

1,2

0,2

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 14. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Gent	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Oostende	6	3	0	3	-2	9
7	Standard	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Cercle Brugge	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	St Truiden	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Eupen	6	2	0	4	-9	6
11	Waregem	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	Kortrijk	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Lokeren	6	1	1	4	-8	4
14	Charleroi	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Beveren	6	0	3	3	-5	3
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	0	5	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Genk	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Oostende	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Waregem	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Lokeren	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Beveren	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-3	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Charleroi	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Standard	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Kortrijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Oostende	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Lokeren	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Waregem	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.