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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Charleroi

S S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 13/21 matches

Win Ø 48%

62%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

57%

Both score Ø 63%

54%

71%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 3

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	13	1	1	+25	40
2	Antwerp	21	9	7	5	+6	34
3	Anderlecht	13	10	2	1	+13	32
4	St Truiden	21	7	8	6	-5	29
5	Charleroi	13	8	4	1	+13	28
6	Kortrijk	21	7	5	9	-6	26
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	21	7	5	9	-7	26
8	Beveren	21	7	4	10	+0	25
9	Lokeren	21	6	6	9	-7	24
10	Gent	13	7	2	4	+10	23
11	Oostende	21	6	4	11	-2	22
12	Waregem	21	6	2	13	-9	20
13	Genk	14	4	7	3	+2	19
14	Standard	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mechelen	21	4	6	11	-14	18
16	Eupen	21	3	7	11	-18	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	St Truiden	11	6	3	2	+2	21
3	Kortrijk	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	5	3	3	-1	18
5	Beveren	10	5	1	4	+6	16
6	Anderlecht	6	5	0	1	+8	15
7	Antwerp	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Eupen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
9	Gent	6	4	0	2	+6	12
10	Charleroi	6	3	3	0	+4	12
11	Standard	7	3	3	1	+1	12
12	Mechelen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Lokeren	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Waregem	11	3	1	7	-9	10
15	Oostende	10	3	0	7	-4	9
16	Genk	7	1	5	1	+0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+4	21
2	Anderlecht	7	5	2	0	+5	17
3	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Lokeren	10	4	2	4	+1	14
6	Oostende	11	3	4	4	+2	13
7	Gent	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Genk	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Waregem	10	3	1	6	+0	10
10	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-6	9
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	2	2	6	-6	8
12	St Truiden	10	1	5	4	-7	8
13	Kortrijk	10	2	1	7	-12	7
14	Standard	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Mechelen	11	1	3	7	-12	6
16	Eupen	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.