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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schüttengruber
Hartberg
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 10
13 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hartberg 10. · Sturm Graz 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 SK Rapid 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 St. Polten 3 1 1 1 +4 4
4 Tirol 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 LASK 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Wolfsberger AC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Austria Vienna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Ried 3 1 0 2 -2 3
9 Sturm Graz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Hartberg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Altach 3 0 1 2 -5 1
12 Admira 2 0 0 2 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Sturm Graz
31′
I. Ljubic 0–1
Christian Klem 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
Rajko Rep 🟨
46′
J. Ertlthaler 🔁
↦ L. Ried
46′
62′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ A. Kuen
62′
🔁 K. Friesenbichler
↦ J. Jantscher
Tobias Kainz 🟨
66′
S. Rakowitz 🔁
↦ A. Lienhart
75′
76′
🟨 Sandro Ingolitsch
78′
🔁 S. Zettl
↦ I. Ljubic
L. Gabbichler 🔁
↦ T. Kainz
84′
87′
🟨 Amadou Dante
90′
🟨 Sandro Ingolitsch
90′
🟥 Sandro Ingolitsch
91′
🔁 T. Koch
↦ O. Kiteishvili
1–1 D. Tadić
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

3-4-1-2
1 R. Swete G
6 A. Lienhart M
14 C. Klem M
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
23 T. Kainz M
32 F. Luckeneder D
27 L. Ried F
28 J. Heil M
24 D. Tadić F
9 R. Rep F
Bench (7)
7 J. Ertlthaler
10 S. Rakowitz
11 L. Gabbichler
4 M. Huber
17 A. Yoda
39 S. Gölles
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič D
24 S. Ingolitsch D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
9 B. Balaj F
Bench (7)
17 L. Jäger
20 K. Friesenbichler
15 S. Zettl
22 T. Koch
5 G. Wüthrich
32 T. Schützenauer
18 P. Huspek

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schüttengruber · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.