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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

Pacos Ferreira

T U S U U

0–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nacional	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Boavista	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sp Braga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0
14	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.