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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Bournemouth

T T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Norwich

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,8

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 11. · Norwich 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Bristol City	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Watford	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Blackburn	3	2	0	1	+8	6
6	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Millwall	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	QPR	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Norwich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Coventry	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Rotherham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Stoke	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Cardiff	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Huddersfield	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Middlesbrough	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Preston	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Barnsley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Nott'm Forest	3	0	0	3	-5	0
23	Derby	3	0	0	3	-7	0
24	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	QPR	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Reading	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Millwall	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Barnsley	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cardiff	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Wycombe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Derby	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Rotherham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Coventry	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.