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Bundesliga

Referee: B Brand

Hoffenheim

T S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

4,3

Scored

2,7

3,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+3,0

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

8,0

Scored

3,0

8,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+8,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

28% Possession 72%

17 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 9. · Bayern Munich 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.