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Pro League
Referee: Bert Put
0–0
Full-time
Waregem
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
24%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
47%
76%
Both score Ø 59%
41%
76%
Average goals
2,1
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 5
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Waregem 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 17 8 6 3 +10 30
2 Charleroi 17 8 2 7 +4 26
3 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
4 Antwerp 11 8 1 2 +8 25
5 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +15 23
6 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
7 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
8 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -4 23
9 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -9 22
10 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
11 Oostende 17 5 4 8 -13 19
12 Eupen 17 6 1 10 -14 19
13 Waregem 17 4 4 9 -10 16
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 4 10 -11 13
16 Lokeren 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem
Half-time 0–0
Noe Dussenne 🟨
70′
Manuel Benson 🔁
↦ Andres Sarmiento
74′
74′
🔁 Thomas Buffel
↦ Nill De Pauw
Yannis Mbombo 🔁
↦ Mbaye Leye
82′
Bilal Chibani 🔁
↦ Benjamin van Durmen
88′
88′
🔁 Mikael Soisalo
↦ Mamadou Sylla
Noe Dussenne 🟨
90′
Noe Dussenne 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Marco Burki
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
15 Frank Boya M
2 Noe Dussenne D
24 Nikola Gulan M
18 Mbaye Leye F
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
7 Fabrice Olinga F
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
19 Andrés Sarmiento F
Bench (7)
1 Olivier Werner
31 Bruno Godeau
13 Giorgos Galitsios
21 Manuel Benson
26 Bilal Chibani
9 Yannis Mbombo
77 Mićo Kuzmanović

Coach: B. Storck

Waregem

4-5-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
4 Michael Heylen D
3 Marvin Baudry D
23 Marco Burki D
14 Sandy Walsh D
22 Florian Tardieu M
19 Mamadou Sylla F
11 Nill De Pauw F
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (8)
25 Louis Bostyn
18 Erdin Demir
16 Urho Nissilä
20 Henrik Bjørdal
5 Damien Marcq
17 Mikael Soisalo
7 Thomas Buffel
12 Chris Bedia

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bert Put · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.