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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Waregem

S T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Waregem 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	7	5	1	1	+3	16
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Antwerp	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Waregem	6	3	1	2	+9	10
6	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	Beveren	7	2	3	2	+5	9
8	Kortrijk	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Genk	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Lokeren	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	Mechelen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
13	Eupen	6	1	0	5	-14	3
14	Gent	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Standard	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Oostende	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Anderlecht	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Beveren	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Waregem	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Mechelen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	Antwerp	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Standard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Oostende	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+8	6
5	Beveren	4	1	2	1	+2	5
6	Kortrijk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Genk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Lokeren	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Gent	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Oostende	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Eupen	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.