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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Stabaek
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
75%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
22 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 6. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 5 4 1 0 +11 13
2 Brann 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Lillestrom 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Tromso 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Viking 4 2 1 1 +5 7
6 Stabaek 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Odd 5 1 3 1 +0 6
8 Ham-Kam 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Valerenga 5 2 0 3 -2 6
10 Rosenborg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
11 Sandefjord 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Sarpsborg 08 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Molde 5 1 1 3 +0 4
14 Haugesund 4 1 1 2 -5 4
15 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Aalesund 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
Nicolai Naess 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
Mushaga Bakenga 🟨
52′
Fredrik Krogstad 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ S. Tibbling
H. Geelmuyden 🔁
↦ M. Bakenga
74′
77′
🟨 Steffen Skalevik
86′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ V. Torp
87′
B. Utvik 0–1
J. Soltvedt
90′
🔁 M. Høyland
↦ E. Wichne
0–2 S. Martinsson Ngouali
own goal
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

3-5-2
21 I. Pettersson G
2 K. Pedersen D
3 N. Næss D
6 A. Skovgaard D
15 S. Ottesen M
8 C. Edwards M
47 Jonatan Lucca M
14 F. Krogstad M
19 K. Kabran M
69 K. Høgh F
9 M. Bakenga F
Bench (9)
10 H. Geelmuyden
4 S. Wangberg
24 K. Kostadinov
11 N. Walstad
20 A. Andresen
1 M. Ulla
36 F. Riise
33 T. Pachonik
5 N. Jenssen

Coach: L. Bohinen

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
40 L. Øy G
32 E. Wichne D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
17 J. Soltvedt D
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali M
29 V. Torp M
11 S. Tibbling M
25 M. Maigaard M
90 C. Baah M
10 R. Lundqvist F
Bench (8)
15 S. Skålevik
22 K. Opseth
6 M. Høyland
77 M. Welinder
72 S. Christiansen
12 J. Sundling
23 G. Mogensen
7 M. Andersen

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.