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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Stabaek
U T T T S
3–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
15%
21%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
69%
29%
Both score Ø 53%
62%
43%
Average goals
3,4
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 7 4 3 +14 25
3 Lillestrom 14 7 4 3 +4 25
4 Kristiansund 14 7 2 5 +0 23
5 Rosenborg 14 6 4 4 +7 22
6 Haugesund 14 6 4 4 +5 22
7 Valerenga 14 5 6 3 +5 21
8 Viking 14 6 3 5 -2 21
9 Sandefjord 14 6 2 6 -3 20
10 Stromsgodset 14 5 4 5 -2 19
11 Odd 14 5 4 5 -4 19
12 Sarpsborg 08 14 3 5 6 -8 14
13 Tromso 14 3 4 7 -11 13
14 Mjondalen 14 2 6 6 -1 12
15 Stabaek 13 2 3 8 -12 9
16 Brann 14 1 4 9 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
1–0 S. Wangberg
O. Edvardsen
7′
M. Solheim 🔁
↦ S. Wangberg
30′
Victor Wernersson 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 O. Edvardsen
46′
46′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ O. Halvorsen
3–0 O. Edvardsen
P. Kirkevold
56′
O. Veum 🔁
↦ K. Pedersen
60′
61′
🔁 S. Bojang
↦ E. Wichne
62′
🔁 G. Vetti
↦ N. Næss
68′
🟨 Ben Kantie Karamoko
H. Shala 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
77′
H. Geelmuyden 🔁
↦ A. Nusa
77′
79′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ I. Koné
81′
K. Opseth 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-3-3
12 M. Sandberg G
3 Y. Amankwah D
4 S. Wangberg D
2 K. Pedersen D
19 V. Wernersson D
16 M. Høyland M
22 S. Skytte M
10 M. Solbakken M
32 A. Nusa F
9 P. Kirkevold F
23 O. Edvardsen F
Bench (9)
5 M. Solheim
31 O. Veum
8 H. Shala
80 H. Geelmuyden
17 F. Azemi
1 M. Ulla
14 K. Torgersen
67 T. Lumanza
24 K. Kostadinov

Coach: E. Kjønø

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
21 A. Kristiansen G
24 M. Dyrestam D
6 N. Næss M
28 B. Karamoko D
4 B. Utvik D
32 E. Wichne M
7 O. Halvorsen F
17 J. Soltvedt M
20 A. Salétros M
11 J. Lindseth F
29 I. Koné F
Bench (9)
8 M. Ofkir
2 S. Bojang
15 G. Vetti
22 K. Opseth
25 S. Skålevik
19 L. Mendy
14 E. Pálsson
1 S. Nilsen
18 S. Jarl

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.