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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Stabaek
T T T U T
5–2
Full-time
Ham-Kam
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
18%
32%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,50 xG 1,31
66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Ham-Kam 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 16 4 3 +30 +13.6 52
2 Viking 23 16 3 4 +17 +3.1 51
3 Tromso 23 15 3 5 +11 +8.9 48
4 Brann 23 14 3 6 +16 +0.9 45
5 Molde 23 13 5 5 +28 +15.7 44
6 Lillestrom 23 11 3 9 +5 +5.9 36
7 Sarpsborg 08 23 10 4 9 +5 +0.9 34
8 Odd 23 8 6 9 -3 -3.1 30
9 Rosenborg 23 8 5 10 -6 -1.6 29
10 Stromsgodset 23 8 3 12 -5 -5.5 27
11 Valerenga 23 6 6 11 -7 -5.0 24
12 Ham-Kam 22 7 3 12 -15 -10.2 24
13 Sandefjord 23 5 6 12 -10 -11.1 21
14 Haugesund 23 5 6 12 -14 -5.7 21
15 Stabaek 22 4 5 13 -16 -5.6 17
16 Aalesund 23 3 3 17 -36 -1.1 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -23 Ham-Kam – Stabaek 3–2

Match report

Stabaek Ham-Kam
1–0 N. Walstad
R. Vinge
16′
2–0 M. Bakenga
S. Ottesen
30′
44′
J. Norheim 2–1
O. Kjærgaard
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Melgalvis
↦ O. Kjærgaard
46′
🔁 M. Bjørlo
↦ P. Kirkevold
47′
ℹ️ Vegard Kongsro
VAR: Card upgrade
48′
🟥 Vegard Kongsro
3–1 M. Bakenga
N. Walstad
52′
58′
🔁 T. Sørås
↦ K. Onsrud
4–1 N. Næss
K. Kostadinov
58′
5–1 C. Edwards
N. Walstad
66′
67′
🔁 J. Enkerud
↦ M. Mawa
F. Haugen 🔁
↦ G. Vetti
70′
L. Kjerrumgaard 🔁
↦ M. Bakenga
70′
K. Jelacic 🔁
↦ R. Vinge
70′
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ K. Kostadinov
77′
O. Veum 🔁
↦ S. Wangberg
77′
80′
🔁 A. Nouri
↦ H. Opsahl
81′
M. Bjørlo 5–2
W. Kurtović
Curtis Edwards 🟨
85′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-3-3
21 I. Pettersson G
15 S. Ottesen D
4 S. Wangberg D
3 N. Næss D
11 N. Walstad D
8 C. Edwards M
18 G. Vetti M
24 K. Kostadinov M
17 R. Vinge F
9 M. Bakenga F
19 K. Kabran F
Bench (9)
7 F. Haugen
16 L. Kjerrumgaard
23 K. Jelacic
14 F. Krogstad
31 O. Veum
10 H. Geelmuyden
1 M. Ulla
33 T. Pachonik
20 A. Andresen

Coach: B. Bradley

Ham-Kam

3-4-3
12 M. Sandberg G
4 H. Opsahl D
6 J. Norheim D
26 B. Bjarnason D
3 J. Gammelby M
19 W. Kurtović M
7 K. Onsrud M
2 V. Kongsro M
10 M. Mawa F
16 P. Kirkevold F
8 O. Kjærgaard F
Bench (9)
33 A. Melgalvis
17 M. Bjørlo
11 T. Sørås
9 J. Enkerud
27 A. Nouri
21 V. Jónsson
1 L. Jendal
14 H. Udahl
22 K. Hernández-Foster

Coach: J. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.