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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Aalesund
S T S T U
2–3
Full-time
Tromso
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,7
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
10%
56%
Points per game
0,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
60%
44%
Both score Ø 43%
30%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Tromso 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 10 9 1 0 +20 28
2 Brann 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Tromso 9 5 2 2 +3 17
4 Molde 10 5 1 4 +9 16
5 Lillestrom 9 5 1 3 +2 16
6 Sarpsborg 08 9 4 3 2 +3 15
7 Viking 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Stabaek 9 4 2 3 -3 14
9 Rosenborg 10 3 3 4 -1 12
10 Valerenga 9 3 1 5 -2 10
11 Odd 10 2 4 4 -4 10
12 Sandefjord 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Haugesund 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Stromsgodset 9 2 2 5 -4 8
15 Ham-Kam 9 2 1 6 -13 7
16 Aalesund 10 1 1 8 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Tromso
1–0 B. Kristensen
N. Hopland
23′
29′
🟨 Christophe Psyche
40′
V. Erlien 1–1
S. Opsahl
Half-time 1–1
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ B. Kristensen
46′
46′
🔁 A. Jenssen
↦ C. Psyché
54′
V. Erlien 1–2
R. Jenssen
A. Diop 🔁
↦ J. Kitolano
64′
A. Stølås 🔁
↦ A. Andersen
64′
73′
N. Vesterlund 1–3
77′
🔁 T. Hafstad
↦ Y. Paintsil
E. Kolve 🔁
↦ K. Lunding
80′
2–3 M. Karlsbakk
82′
87′
🔁 J. Hjertø-Dahl
↦ K. Antonsen
92′
🔁 M. Koskela
↦ S. Opsahl
M. Diop 🔁
↦ N. Hopland
95′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 S. Grytebust G
14 O. Kolskogen D
5 D. Fällman D
30 A. Andersen D
31 A. Munksgaard M
6 E. Segberg M
4 N. Hopland M
25 J. Kitolano M
7 K. Lunding F
29 B. Kristensen F
22 M. Karlsbakk F
Bench (9)
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
21 A. Diop
23 A. Stølås
40 E. Kolve
27 M. Diop
13 M. Lansing
34 S. Holte
33 S. Haram
2 T. Murray

Coach: M. Bøe

Tromso

5-4-1
12 S. Thomas G
19 N. Vesterlund D
20 C. Øyvann D
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
24 D. Bassi D
17 Y. Paintsil M
22 S. Opsahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (7)
5 A. Jenssen
21 T. Hafstad
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl
16 M. Koskela
32 M. Tollefsen
10 J. Romsaas
3 J. Robertsen

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.