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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Feyenoord
T U U U S
1–0
Full-time
Vitesse
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
46%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
46%
73%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 5. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 +26 36
2 Ajax 14 9 2 3 +29 29
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 9 1 3 +7 28
4 Zwolle 14 7 5 2 +7 26
5 Feyenoord 13 6 4 3 +9 22
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Vitesse 11 5 3 3 +8 18
8 Heerenveen 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Heracles 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Excelsior 13 5 2 6 -3 17
11 Den Haag 13 5 2 6 -4 17
12 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -2 15
13 VVV Venlo 13 3 6 4 -4 15
14 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 5 6 -11 11
15 Willem II 13 3 2 8 -12 11
16 Twente 14 3 1 10 -9 10
17 NAC Breda 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Roda 13 2 1 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Vitesse
1–0 N. Jørgensen
S. Amrabat
9′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Matthew Miazga
66′
🔁 A. Büttner
↦ L. Faye
72′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ T. Matavž
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
74′
82′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ T. Serero
J. Toornstra 🔁
↦ K. El Ahmadi
85′
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
18 M. Nelom D
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
3 S. van Beek D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
20 R. Tapia M
10 T. Vilhena M
21 S. Amrabat M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (10)
28 J. Toornstra
7 J. Boëtius
1 K. Vermeer
4 J. St. Juste
14 B. Basaçikoglu
17 K. Diks
22 J. Bijlow
29 M. Kramer
35 T. Malacia
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
37 G. Kashia D
2 F. Dabo D
5 M. Miazga D
43 L. Faye D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
7 M. Rashica F
19 M. Mount M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (10)
28 A. Büttner
14 L. Castaignos
16 M. van Bergen
50 T. Oude Kotte
8 C. Colkett
10 T. Bruns
23 M. Ali
24 J. Houwen
29 J. Lelieveld
40 B. Bayazit

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.