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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Feyenoord
T S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Vitesse
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 57%
75%
38%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
44%
69%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,8
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 16 12 3 1 +33 39
2 Ajax 16 11 3 2 +22 36
3 PSV Eindhoven 16 9 6 1 +17 33
4 Heerenveen 16 8 4 4 +12 28
5 Utrecht 15 6 6 3 +5 24
6 Twente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
7 Vitesse 16 6 5 5 +4 23
8 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 7 2 +6 22
9 Willem II 17 4 7 6 -7 19
10 Heracles 16 4 6 6 -7 18
11 Nijmegen 16 4 6 6 -10 18
12 Sparta Rotterdam 16 4 5 7 -6 17
13 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -4 16
14 Excelsior 16 4 3 9 -9 15
15 Den Haag 16 4 2 10 -14 14
16 Zwolle 16 3 5 8 -18 14
17 Roda 17 1 10 6 -13 13
18 Go Ahead Eagles 16 3 2 11 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Vitesse
1–0 E. Elia
15′
24′
A. Tighadouini 1–1
M. Rashica
2–1 S. Berghuis
E. Elia
42′
Half-time 2–1
Miquel Nelom 🟨
51′
3–1 S. Berghuis
D. Kuijt
57′
J. Toornstra 🔁
↦ E. Elia
60′
Karim El Ahmadi 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 Nathan
↦ M. Rashica
74′
🟨 Ricky van Wolfswinkel
74′
🔁 Zhang Yuning
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
B. Basaçikoglu 🔁
↦ D. Kuijt
83′
83′
🔁 M. Osman
↦ N. Foor
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
33 Eric Botteghin D
18 M. Nelom D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
10 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
Bench (12)
28 J. Toornstra
14 B. Basaçikoglu
15 L. Woudenberg
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
26 B. Nieuwkoop
27 Simon Gustafson
29 M. Kramer
30 P. Hansson
31 W. Dammers
38 G. Hamer
40 M. El Hankouri

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
8 K. Ota D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
25 N. Foor M
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
Bench (12)
11 Nathan
9 Zhang Yuning
20 M. Osman
6 A. Kruiswijk
16 M. van Bergen
19 M. Miazga
21 S. Yeini
23 M. Tørnes
24 J. Houwen
29 J. Lelieveld
30 A. Koryan
43 L. Faye

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.