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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

VVV Venlo

U U U T U

0–1

Full-time

Utrecht

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 15/12 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

40%

75%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

58%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 13. · Utrecht 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	1	2	+24	40
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	2	3	+14	35
3	Ajax	15	10	2	3	+32	32
4	Zwolle	16	8	6	2	+8	30
5	Feyenoord	14	7	4	3	+10	25
6	Utrecht	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Den Haag	14	6	2	6	-3	20
8	Vitesse	13	5	4	4	+7	19
9	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Heracles	15	5	3	7	-10	18
11	Groningen	16	4	5	7	-2	17
12	Excelsior	15	5	2	8	-6	17
13	VVV Venlo	15	3	7	5	-6	16
14	Willem II	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Twente	16	4	1	11	-9	13
16	NAC Breda	16	3	4	9	-16	13
17	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	5	7	-12	11
18	Roda	15	3	2	10	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Zwolle	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Ajax	7	5	0	2	+14	15
6	Groningen	9	3	4	2	+1	13
7	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Twente	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Roda	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	NAC Breda	8	2	1	5	-12	7
15	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	+0	6
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+11	19
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Excelsior	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Zwolle	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Den Haag	6	4	0	2	+1	12
10	VVV Venlo	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Utrecht	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-9	8
13	NAC Breda	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-3	4
15	Twente	8	1	0	7	-9	3
16	Sparta Rotterdam	7	0	3	4	-9	3
17	Roda	8	1	0	7	-14	3
18	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.