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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Utrecht

T U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches

Win Ø 39%

39%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

65%

61%

Both score Ø 66%

68%

64%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Heerenveen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	26	5	3	+48	83
2	Ajax	34	25	4	5	+56	79
3	AZ Alkmaar	34	22	5	7	+34	71
4	Feyenoord	34	20	6	8	+37	66
5	Vitesse	32	14	9	9	+23	51
6	Heerenveen	33	13	9	11	-2	48
7	Utrecht	31	12	10	9	-2	46
8	Den Haag	34	12	8	14	-11	44
9	Zwolle	34	12	8	14	-12	44
10	Heracles	34	11	9	14	-14	42
11	Excelsior	34	11	7	16	-15	40
12	Groningen	34	8	14	12	+0	38
13	Willem II	34	10	7	17	-13	37
14	NAC Breda	34	9	7	18	-16	34
15	VVV Venlo	34	7	13	14	-19	34
16	Roda	34	8	6	20	-27	30
17	Sparta Rotterdam	34	7	6	21	-41	27
18	Twente	34	5	9	20	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	15	2	0	+35	47
2	Ajax	17	14	1	2	+33	43
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+20	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+17	35
5	Heracles	17	9	4	4	+4	31
6	Groningen	17	7	7	3	+11	28
7	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
8	Utrecht	15	7	7	1	+5	28
9	Vitesse	16	7	5	4	+14	26
10	Heerenveen	17	7	4	6	-2	25
11	Willem II	17	6	4	7	+2	22
12	Den Haag	17	6	4	7	-5	22
13	NAC Breda	17	7	1	9	-5	22
14	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	-15	20
15	Twente	17	4	6	7	-6	18
16	Roda	17	4	4	9	-13	16
17	VVV Venlo	17	3	6	8	-10	15
18	Excelsior	17	3	5	9	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	11	3	3	+23	36
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	3	3	+17	36
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	3	3	+13	36
4	Feyenoord	17	9	3	5	+17	30
5	Excelsior	17	8	2	7	-7	26
6	Vitesse	16	7	4	5	+9	25
7	Heerenveen	16	6	5	5	+0	23
8	Den Haag	17	6	4	7	-6	22
9	VVV Venlo	17	4	7	6	-9	19
10	Utrecht	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Zwolle	17	4	4	9	-19	16
12	Willem II	17	4	3	10	-15	15
13	Roda	17	4	2	11	-14	14
14	NAC Breda	17	2	6	9	-11	12
15	Heracles	17	2	5	10	-18	11
16	Groningen	17	1	7	9	-11	10
17	Sparta Rotterdam	17	1	4	12	-26	7
18	Twente	17	1	3	13	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.