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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Bastien

Lille

T U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Guingamp

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

34%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

63%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 19. · Guingamp 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	32	27	3	2	+74	84
2	Monaco	32	21	7	4	+43	70
3	Lyon	33	19	9	5	+36	66
4	Marseille	32	18	9	5	+26	63
5	Rennes	32	13	8	11	+3	47
6	Nice	33	13	8	12	-1	47
7	Montpellier	32	10	16	6	+5	46
8	Nantes	32	12	8	12	-4	44
9	St Etienne	32	11	10	11	-8	43
10	Guingamp	32	11	8	13	-10	41
11	Dijon	32	11	8	13	-15	41
12	Bordeaux	32	11	7	14	-6	40
13	Angers	33	8	13	12	-6	37
14	Amiens	33	10	7	16	-8	37
15	Caen	32	10	5	17	-19	35
16	Strasbourg	32	8	10	14	-19	34
17	Toulouse	32	7	9	16	-15	30
18	Troyes	32	8	5	19	-21	29
19	Lille	32	7	7	18	-21	28
20	Metz	32	5	7	20	-34	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	16	0	0	+51	48
2	Monaco	17	14	2	1	+29	44
3	Marseille	16	9	5	2	+19	32
4	Lyon	16	9	5	2	+14	32
5	Dijon	16	9	3	4	+7	30
6	Guingamp	17	7	6	4	+4	27
7	Nice	17	8	3	6	+2	27
8	St Etienne	16	6	7	3	+1	25
9	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+1	25
10	Caen	16	7	3	6	-1	24
11	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	+4	23
12	Strasbourg	16	6	5	5	+0	23
13	Nantes	15	7	2	6	-1	23
14	Amiens	16	6	4	6	+3	22
15	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
16	Angers	17	5	6	6	-3	21
17	Troyes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
18	Toulouse	16	5	5	6	+0	20
19	Lille	16	4	5	7	-6	17
20	Metz	16	3	3	10	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	11	3	2	+23	36
2	Lyon	17	10	4	3	+22	34
3	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+7	31
4	Monaco	15	7	5	3	+14	26
5	Rennes	17	7	5	5	+5	26
6	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	+1	23
7	Nantes	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	Nice	16	5	5	6	-3	20
9	St Etienne	16	5	3	8	-9	18
10	Angers	16	3	7	6	-3	16
11	Bordeaux	16	4	3	9	-7	15
12	Amiens	17	4	3	10	-11	15
13	Guingamp	15	4	2	9	-14	14
14	Lille	16	3	2	11	-15	11
15	Caen	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Strasbourg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
17	Dijon	16	2	5	9	-22	11
18	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-15	10
19	Metz	16	2	4	10	-18	10
20	Troyes	16	2	2	12	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.