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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Monaco
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Lille
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 5. · Lille 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Reims 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Lyon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Guingamp 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Caen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Lille
15′
🟨 Xeka
Jordi Mboula 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
S. Grandsir 🔁
↦ Jordi Mboula
56′
64′
🟨 Thiago Mendes
67′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
72′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ Y. Benzia
S. Diop 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
79′
80′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ Thiago Mendes
80′
🔁 Edgar Ié
↦ F. Ballo
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ S. Jovetić
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 D. Benaglio G
25 K. Glik D
38 A. Touré D
5 Jemerson D
3 A. Barreca D
4 J. Aholou M
7 Rony Lopes M
8 Y. Tielemans M
9 R. Falcao F
10 S. Jovetić F
22 Jordi Mboula F
Bench (7)
29 S. Grandsir
36 S. Diop
13 W. Geubbels
15 Y. Aït Bennasser
21 J. Serrano
30 S. Sy
35 K. N'Doram

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
5 A. Soumaoro D
17 M. Çelik D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 Xeka M
25 F. Ballo D
10 Y. Benzia M
19 N. Pépé M
14 J. Bamba M
18 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
20 Thiago Maia
12 J. Ikoné
15 Edgar Ié
1 A. Jakubech
7 A. El Ghazi
22 K. Dabila
24 B. Soumaré

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.