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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Roma

S S U S S

3–3

Full-time

Atalanta

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

55% Possession 45%

25 Shots 23

10 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 10

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 11

0 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 10. · Atalanta 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Spal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Chievo	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.