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Serie A

Referee: Federico La Penna

Sassuolo

U U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 36%

26%

46%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

43%

66%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

0,7

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

17 Shots 2

7 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 6

6 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 13. · Sampdoria 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	36	29	4	3	+61	91
2	Napoli	36	26	7	3	+45	85
3	Lazio	36	21	8	7	+41	71
4	Roma	35	21	7	7	+31	70
5	Inter	36	19	12	5	+36	69
6	Milan	36	17	9	10	+10	60
7	Atalanta	36	16	11	9	+19	59
8	Fiorentina	36	16	9	11	+13	57
9	Sampdoria	35	16	6	13	+1	54
10	Torino	36	11	15	10	+6	48
11	Genoa	36	11	8	17	-8	41
12	Bologna	36	11	6	19	-10	39
13	Sassuolo	35	9	10	16	-31	37
14	Spal	36	7	14	15	-21	35
15	Udinese	36	10	4	22	-17	34
16	Crotone	36	9	7	20	-25	34
17	Chievo	36	8	10	18	-25	34
18	Cagliari	35	9	6	20	-29	33
19	Verona	36	7	4	25	-46	25
20	Benevento	36	5	3	28	-51	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	1	2	+36	46
2	Napoli	18	13	3	2	+24	42
3	Sampdoria	18	12	3	3	+18	39
4	Inter	18	11	5	2	+22	38
5	Roma	18	11	1	6	+12	34
6	Lazio	18	9	5	4	+25	32
7	Atalanta	18	9	5	4	+12	32
8	Milan	18	9	5	4	+5	32
9	Fiorentina	18	8	5	5	+6	29
10	Torino	18	7	6	5	+10	27
11	Chievo	18	6	6	6	-3	24
12	Crotone	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Bologna	18	6	4	8	+0	22
14	Genoa	18	6	3	9	-3	21
15	Spal	18	4	8	6	-9	20
16	Cagliari	17	5	3	9	-12	18
17	Udinese	18	5	2	11	-7	17
18	Sassuolo	17	3	7	7	-11	16
19	Verona	18	5	1	12	-20	16
20	Benevento	18	4	2	12	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	14	3	1	+25	45
2	Napoli	18	13	4	1	+21	43
3	Lazio	18	12	3	3	+16	39
4	Roma	17	10	6	1	+19	36
5	Inter	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Fiorentina	18	8	4	6	+7	28
7	Milan	18	8	4	6	+5	28
8	Atalanta	18	7	6	5	+7	27
9	Torino	18	4	9	5	-4	21
10	Sassuolo	18	6	3	9	-20	21
11	Genoa	18	5	5	8	-5	20
12	Udinese	18	5	2	11	-10	17
13	Bologna	18	5	2	11	-10	17
14	Spal	18	3	6	9	-12	15
15	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-17	15
16	Cagliari	18	4	3	11	-17	15
17	Crotone	18	3	2	13	-23	11
18	Chievo	18	2	4	12	-22	10
19	Verona	18	2	3	13	-26	9
20	Benevento	18	1	1	16	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.