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Serie A
Referee: Marco Piccinini
Atalanta
S S U U T
4–0
Full-time
Frosinone
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
6 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Atalanta Frosinone
1–0 A. Gómez
Rafael Tolói
14′
31′
🟨 Stipe Perica
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Hateboer
A. Gómez
48′
D. Zapata 🔁
↦ M. Barrow
55′
3–0 M. Pašalić
A. Gómez
61′
62′
🔁 D. Soddimo
↦ R. Maiello
T. Castagne 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
75′
M. Pessina 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
81′
82′
🔁 L. Matarese
↦ S. Perica
82′
🔁 A. Pinamonti
↦ C. Ciano
88′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
4–0 A. Gómez
A. Masiello
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
95 P. Gollini G
5 A. Masiello D
2 Rafael Tolói D
19 B. Djimsiti D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gómez F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
88 M. Pašalić M
99 M. Barrow F
Bench (10)
91 D. Zapata
21 T. Castagne
22 M. Pessina
1 E. Berisha
4 L. Valzania
7 A. Reca
9 A. Cornelius
23 G. Mancini
31 F. Rossi
53 Ali Adnan

Coach: G. Gasperini

Frosinone

5-3-2
57 M. Sportiello G
3 C. Molinaro D
27 B. Salamon D
32 L. Krajnc D
17 F. Zampano M
6 E. Goldaniga D
20 E. Hallfreðsson M
8 R. Maiello M
66 R. Chibsah M
28 C. Ciano F
11 S. Perica F
Bench (12)
10 D. Soddimo
19 L. Matarese
89 A. Pinamonti
2 P. Ghiglione
15 L. Ariaudo
22 F. Bardi
23 N. Brighenti
24 F. Cassata
25 M. Capuano
31 P. Besea
33 A. Beghetto
88 L. Crisetig

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Piccinini · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.