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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Lazio

S S S U U

2–3

Full-time

Inter

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 54%

57%

51%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

76%

46%

Both score Ø 57%

68%

46%

Average goals

3,6

2,5

Scored

2,4

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 4

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 4. · Inter 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	38	30	5	3	+62	95
2	Napoli	38	28	7	3	+48	91
3	Roma	37	22	8	7	+32	74
4	Lazio	37	21	9	7	+41	72
5	Inter	37	19	12	6	+35	69
6	Milan	38	18	10	10	+14	64
7	Atalanta	38	16	12	10	+18	60
8	Fiorentina	38	16	9	13	+8	57
9	Torino	38	13	15	10	+8	54
10	Sampdoria	38	16	6	16	-4	54
11	Sassuolo	37	11	10	16	-29	43
12	Genoa	38	11	8	19	-10	41
13	Udinese	38	12	4	22	-15	40
14	Chievo	38	10	10	18	-23	40
15	Bologna	38	11	6	21	-12	39
16	Cagliari	38	11	6	21	-28	39
17	Spal	38	8	14	16	-20	38
18	Crotone	38	9	8	21	-26	35
19	Verona	38	7	4	27	-48	25
20	Benevento	38	6	3	29	-51	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	16	1	2	+37	49
2	Napoli	19	14	3	2	+25	45
3	Sampdoria	19	12	3	4	+16	39
4	Inter	19	11	5	3	+21	38
5	Roma	19	11	2	6	+12	35
6	Milan	19	10	5	4	+9	35
7	Atalanta	19	9	6	4	+12	33
8	Lazio	18	9	5	4	+25	32
9	Torino	19	8	6	5	+11	30
10	Fiorentina	19	8	5	6	+5	29
11	Chievo	19	7	6	6	-2	27
12	Crotone	19	6	6	7	-2	24
13	Spal	19	5	8	6	-7	23
14	Bologna	19	6	4	9	-1	22
15	Genoa	19	6	3	10	-4	21
16	Cagliari	19	6	3	10	-12	21
17	Udinese	19	6	2	11	-6	20
18	Sassuolo	18	4	7	7	-10	19
19	Benevento	19	5	2	12	-17	17
20	Verona	19	5	1	13	-21	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	14	4	1	+25	46
2	Napoli	19	14	4	1	+23	46
3	Lazio	19	12	4	3	+16	40
4	Roma	18	11	6	1	+20	39
5	Inter	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Milan	19	8	5	6	+5	29
7	Fiorentina	19	8	4	7	+3	28
8	Atalanta	19	7	6	6	+6	27
9	Torino	19	5	9	5	-3	24
10	Sassuolo	19	7	3	9	-19	24
11	Genoa	19	5	5	9	-6	20
12	Udinese	19	6	2	11	-9	20
13	Cagliari	19	5	3	11	-16	18
14	Bologna	19	5	2	12	-11	17
15	Spal	19	3	6	10	-13	15
16	Sampdoria	19	4	3	12	-20	15
17	Chievo	19	3	4	12	-21	13
18	Crotone	19	3	2	14	-24	11
19	Verona	19	2	3	14	-27	9
20	Benevento	19	1	1	17	-34	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.