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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Inter
S U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Torino
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 78%
78%
78%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
21 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 14. · Torino 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 7 0 2 +11 21
2 Roma 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Milan 10 6 1 3 +2 19
4 Napoli 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Torino 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 Genoa 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Chievo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Atalanta 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Sassuolo 9 4 1 4 -2 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 -3 13
12 Fiorentina 8 3 3 2 +2 12
13 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -3 12
14 Inter 9 3 2 4 -1 11
15 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Empoli 9 1 3 5 -9 6
19 Palermo 9 1 3 5 -10 6
20 Crotone 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Torino
28′
🟨 Mirko Valdifiori
1–0 M. Icardi
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. López
↦ Iago Falqué
60′
🔁 M. Benassi
↦ A. Acquah
63′
A. Belotti 1–1
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ E. Martins
74′
76′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ J. Obi
80′
🟨 Maxi López
2–1 M. Icardi
R. Palacio
88′
90′
🟨 Andrea Belotti
90′
🟨 Marco Benassi
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Inter

4-3-3
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
15 C. Ansaldi M
55 Y. Nagatomo D
24 J. Murillo D
19 É. Banega M
77 M. Brozović M
6 João Mário M
87 A. Candreva M
23 E. Martins F
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
8 R. Palacio
2 M. Andreolli
10 S. Jovetić
13 A. Ranocchia
21 D. Santon
27 A. Gnoukouri
30 J. Carrizo
33 D. D'Ambrosio
44 I. Perišić
94 E. Yao
95 S. Miangue
96 Gabriel

Coach: F. de Boer

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
13 L. Rossettini D
7 D. Zappacosta M
23 A. Barreca D
18 M. Valdifiori M
22 J. Obi M
6 A. Acquah M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
11 M. López
15 M. Benassi
8 D. Baselli
1 D. Padelli
5 C. Bovo
17 J. Martínez
20 G. Vives
25 S. Lukić
29 L. De Silvestri
31 L. Boyé
90 T. Cucchietti
93 Arlind Ajeti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.