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Serie A
Referee: Riccardo Pinzani
Udinese
T S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
61%
47%
Both score Ø 61%
53%
69%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 11. · Sampdoria 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 27 4 5 +46 85
2 Roma 37 27 3 7 +51 84
3 Napoli 37 25 8 4 +53 83
4 Lazio 36 21 7 8 +27 70
5 Atalanta 36 19 9 8 +19 66
6 Milan 36 17 9 10 +10 60
7 Fiorentina 37 16 11 10 +6 59
8 Inter 36 17 5 14 +18 56
9 Torino 36 12 14 10 +4 50
10 Sampdoria 36 12 11 13 -4 47
11 Udinese 36 12 8 16 -6 44
12 Cagliari 36 13 5 18 -18 44
13 Sassuolo 36 12 7 17 -7 43
14 Chievo 37 12 7 18 -17 43
15 Bologna 36 11 8 17 -14 41
16 Genoa 36 8 9 19 -26 33
17 Empoli 36 8 8 20 -30 32
18 Crotone 36 8 7 21 -23 31
19 Palermo 36 5 8 23 -43 23
20 Pescara 36 2 8 26 -46 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Sampdoria
1–0 C. Théréau
D. Zapata
5′
30′
🟨 Lucas Torreira
Half-time 1–0
Rodrigo De Paul 🟥
47′
54′
🔁 Bruno Fernandes
↦ F. Đuričić
56′
🟨 Jacopo Sala
E. Agyemang-Badu 🔁
↦ A. Balić
60′
Ryder Matos 🔁
↦ C. Théréau
61′
64′
L. Muriel 1–1
Danilo 🟥
65′
65′
🟥 Luis Muriel
77′
🔁 K. Linetty
↦ D. Praet
82′
🔁 A. Budimir
↦ É. Barreto
Jakub Jankto 🟨
90′
Ewandro 🔁
↦ E. Hallfreðsson
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Udinese

4-4-2
22 S. Scuffet G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
4 G. Angella D
34 Gabriel Silva D
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
10 R. de Paul M
99 A. Balić M
14 J. Jankto M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (8)
8 E. Agyemang-Badu
19 Ryder Matos
96 Ewandro
95 Lucas Evangelista
26 S. Kums
53 Ali Adnan
1 O. Karnezis
62 A. Parpinel

Coach: L. Delneri

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 C. Puggioni G
26 M. Silvestre D
20 D. Pavlovic
22 J. Sala D
37 M. Škriniar D
8 É. Barreto M
23 F. Đuričić M
18 D. Praet M
34 L. Torreira M
9 L. Muriel F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (12)
10 Bruno Fernandes
16 K. Linetty
47 A. Budimir
5 Dodô
21 L. Cigarini
33 P. Cavagnaro
12 T. Krapikas
11 R. Álvarez
4 L. Šimić
29 A. Tessiore
27 F. Quagliarella
24 B. Bereszyński

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.