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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Leganes

T T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 16%

14%

17%

Points per game

0,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

57%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Leganes 20. · Vallecano 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+10	14
2	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+5	14
3	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+9	13
5	Ath Madrid	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Betis	7	3	3	1	+0	12
7	Espanol	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Celta	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Levante	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Eibar	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
16	Valencia	7	1	5	1	-1	8
17	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
18	Vallecano	6	1	2	3	-7	5
19	Huesca	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+9	8
4	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Betis	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Celta	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-4	5
10	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Valencia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Levante	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Alaves	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Girona	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-8	4
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.