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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Leganes
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
0%
80%
Points per game
0,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

22% Possession 78%
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 20. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 +11 13
2 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 Ath Madrid 6 3 2 1 +4 11
4 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Espanol 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 Celta 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Sociedad 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Girona 5 2 2 1 -1 8
9 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +4 7
10 Getafe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Eibar 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Ath Bilbao 4 1 3 0 +1 6
13 Betis 5 1 3 1 -2 6
14 Villarreal 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Valencia 5 0 4 1 -2 4
16 Levante 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Vallecano 5 1 1 3 -7 4
18 Huesca 6 1 1 4 -10 4
19 Valladolid 5 0 3 2 -2 3
20 Leganes 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Barcelona
12′
Philippe Coutinho 0–1
L. Messi
Rubén Pérez 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
Unai Bustinza 🟨
49′
1–1 N. El Zhar
J. Silva
52′
2–1 Óscar Rodríguez
53′
60′
🟨 Samuel Umtiti
61′
🔁 L. Suárez
↦ Munir
64′
🟨 Thomas Vermaelen
70′
🔁 Jordi Alba
↦ T. Vermaelen
71′
🔁 Malcom
↦ O. Dembélé
Gerard Gumbau 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
74′
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Mikel Vesga
82′
A. Nyom 🔁
↦ N. El Zhar
86′
Allan Nyom 🟨
88′
Youssef En-Nesyri 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leganes

5-4-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
2 Juanfran D
5 J. Silva D
3 Bustinza D
14 Raúl García D
28 Rodri Tarín D
10 N. El Zhar M
21 Rubén Pérez M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
26 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
6 Gerard Gumbau
18 Sabin Merino
12 A. Nyom
4 D. Rolan
9 G. Carrillo
13 Serantes
20 Michael Santos

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
24 T. Vermaelen D
3 Piqué D
20 Sergi Roberto D
23 S. Umtiti D
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
7 Philippe Coutinho M
10 L. Messi F
19 Munir F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
9 L. Suárez
18 Jordi Alba
14 Malcom
2 Nélson Semedo
8 Arthur
13 J. Cillessen
22 A. Vidal

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.