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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Celta
T S T T T
0–4
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 19. · Ath Madrid 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Sp Gijon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Ath Madrid 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Alaves 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Osasuna 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Granada 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Ath Madrid
26′
🟨 Gabi
Josep Señé 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
53′
Koke 0–1
A. Griezmann
63′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ Fernando Torres
G. Rossi 🔁
↦ D. Wass
68′
68′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Y. Carrasco
70′
🟨 Ángel Correa
73′
A. Griezmann 0–2
Saúl
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
75′
81′
A. Griezmann 0–3
Juanfran
82′
🔁 Tiago
↦ Gabi
Pape Diop 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
86′
89′
Á. Correa 0–4
Koke
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Celta

4-3-3
1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
6 N. Radoja M
23 Josep Señé M
10 Iago Aspas F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
25 G. Rossi
11 P. Sisto
28 Pape Diop
15 Álvaro Lemos
17 José Naranjo
24 F. Roncaglia
27 Iván Villar

Coach: E. Berizzo

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
15 S. Savić D
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
10 Y. Carrasco M
9 Fernando Torres F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
21 K. Gameiro
11 Á. Correa
5 Tiago
19 L. Hernández
23 N. Gaitán
24 J. Giménez
25 André Moreira

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.