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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Mechelen
T S U U S
2–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 11
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 5. · St Truiden 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 5 3 1 1 +4 10
2 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Waregem 4 3 0 1 +5 9
4 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Mechelen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Kortrijk 5 2 2 1 -2 8
7 Gent 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Club Brugge 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Eupen 6 2 1 3 -4 7
10 Standard 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
12 Lokeren 5 2 0 3 -1 6
13 Beveren 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 St Truiden 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 1 0 4 -3 3
16 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen St Truiden
Uros Vitas 🟨
5′
1–0 N. Verdier
N. Schouterden
11′
20′
🟨 Steven De Petter
37′
🟨 Pierrick Valdivia
Edin Cocalić 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
46′
53′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ I. Swers
64′
🔁 Y. Boli
↦ P. Valdivia
71′
🟨 Jonathan Bamba
71′
🟨 Salimo Sylla
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
75′
2–0 D. Kolovos
M. Rits
80′
81′
🔁 F. Tchenkoua
↦ R. Bezus
G. Claes 🔁
↦ N. Schouterden
82′
Ahmed El Messaoudi 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

49 A. Moris G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
16 A. Bjelica F
7 T. Matthys M
18 N. Schouterden M
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
30 J. Vanlerberghe
3 A. El Messaoudi
77 G. Claes
8 R. Leal
9 D. Veselinović
22 E. Cobbaut
26 C. Coosemans

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
28 W. Dutoît G
26 Ruben Fernandes D
18 M. Bagayoko D
4 Jorge Pulido D
29 S. Sylla D
6 S. De Petter M
24 P. Valdivia M
10 R. Bezus F
8 S. Peeters M
27 I. Swers M
37 J. Bamba F
Bench (7)
22 W. Janssens
11 Y. Boli
7 F. Tchenkoua
3 D. Dakonam
14 P. Gerkens
21 L. Pirard
23 S. Kotysch

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.