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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Rotherham
U T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Bristol City
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

23% Possession 77%
10 Shots 35
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 10
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 22. · Bristol City 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Fulham 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Reading 6 3 1 2 -2 10
4 Barnsley 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 +4 9
6 QPR 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Bristol City 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Nott'm Forest 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Brighton 5 2 2 1 +4 8
10 Wolves 5 2 2 1 +3 8
11 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 +2 8
12 Norwich 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Ipswich 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Burton Albion 5 2 1 2 +1 7
15 Brentford 5 2 1 2 +1 7
16 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 +0 5
17 Cardiff 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Derby 5 1 2 2 -2 5
19 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 -3 5
20 Wigan 5 1 1 3 +0 4
21 Leeds 5 1 1 3 -4 4
22 Rotherham 5 1 1 3 -9 4
23 Preston 5 1 0 4 -2 3
24 Blackburn 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Bristol City
1–0 I. Brown
G. Halford
6′
36′
🟨 Lee Tomlin
Half-time 1–0
A. Forde 🔁
↦ J. Taylor
46′
1–1 A. Flint
own goal
58′
62′
🔁 C. O'Dowda
↦ L. Freeman
62′
🔁 J. Ekstrand
↦ S. Golbourne
62′
🔁 J. Paterson
↦ M. Little
W. Vaulks 🔁
↦ J. Newell
69′
Lee Camp 🟨
74′
74′
T. Abraham 1–2
S. Allan 🔁
↦ I. Brown
81′
83′
B. Reid 1–3
J. Bryan
Daniel Ward 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-2-3-1
1 L. Camp G
15 G. Halford M
16 K. Wilson D
2 S. Kelly D
14 D. Ball M
17 D. Fisher D
18 D. Fry D
11 J. Taylor M
22 J. Newell M
9 D. Ward F
37 I. Brown M
Bench (7)
7 A. Forde
4 W. Vaulks
21 S. Allan
10 J. Forster-Caskey
3 J. Mattock
39 J. Yates
45 L. Bilboe

Coach: A. Stubbs

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
12 R. O'Donnell G
13 S. Golbourne D
2 M. Little D
4 A. Flint D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 J. Bryan D
6 G. O'Neil M
14 B. Reid F
10 L. Tomlin M
15 L. Freeman M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (7)
11 C. O'Dowda
5 J. Ekstrand
20 J. Paterson
17 T. Moore
18 A. Wilbraham
1 F. Fielding
21 M. Pack

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.