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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Ath Madrid
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Alaves

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
27 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
20 Corners 2
7 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Alaves
12′
🔁 Laguardia
↦ Z. Feddal
Half-time 0–0
Fernando Torres 🔁
↦ Tiago
46′
N. Gaitán 🔁
↦ Gabi
58′
65′
🔁 Víctor Camarasa
↦ N. Krstičić
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
71′
80′
🔁 C. Santos
↦ Toquero
87′
🟨 Édgar Méndez
88′
🟨 Ibai Gómez
90′
🟨 Víctor Laguardia
1–0 K. Gameiro ⚽
93′
95′
⚽ Manu García 1–1
Alexis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-2-3-1
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
15 S. Savić D
5 Tiago M
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
10 Y. Carrasco M
21 K. Gameiro F
Bench (7)
9 Fernando Torres
23 N. Gaitán
11 Á. Correa
12 A. Fernández
25 André Moreira
24 J. Giménez
19 L. Hernández

Coach: D. Simeone

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Fernando Pacheco G
4 Alexis D
24 Z. Feddal D
3 Raúl García D
23 N. Krstičić M
21 Kiko Femenía D
19 Manu García M
16 D. Torres M
17 Edgar Méndez M
18 Toquero F
11 Ibai Gómez M
Bench (7)
5 Laguardia
8 Víctor Camarasa
9 C. Santos
13 Ortolá
6 Marcos Llorente
7 Rubén Sobrino
22 Carlos Vigaray

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.