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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Real Madrid

S S S S S

5–2

Full-time

Osasuna

U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%

25 Shots 10

11 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Osasuna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
5	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.