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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Leganes
S
0–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 7
19 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 7. · Ath Madrid 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Alaves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Osasuna 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Ath Madrid
37′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
Half-time 0–0
Adrián Marín 🔁
↦ A. Szymanowski
46′
58′
🔁 Fernando Torres
↦ K. Gameiro
Alberto Martín 🟨
61′
Pablo Ínsua 🔁
↦ Alberto
63′
63′
🔁 Y. Carrasco
↦ Gabi
Rubén Pérez 🟨
70′
Martín Mantovani 🟨
72′
79′
🔁 N. Gaitán
↦ A. Fernández
D. Machís 🔁
↦ Guerrero
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
13 Serantes G
17 Víctor Díaz D
5 M. Mantovani D
3 Bustinza D
15 Diego Rico D
21 Rubén Pérez M
6 Alberto M
8 Gabriel M
11 A. Szymanowski M
19 Unai López M
9 Guerrero F
Bench (7)
4 Adrián Marín
18 Pablo Ínsua
7 D. Machís
12 C. Medjani
22 Lluis Sastre
23 Omar Ramos
25 A. Brignoli

Coach: Asier Garitano

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
15 S. Savić D
14 Gabi M
12 A. Fernández M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
21 K. Gameiro F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
9 Fernando Torres
10 Y. Carrasco
23 N. Gaitán
11 Á. Correa
16 Š. Vrsaljko
24 J. Giménez
25 André Moreira

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.