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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Celta

U S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Leganes

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

10 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.