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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Malaga

S T S U U

0–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 11. · Villarreal 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
5	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Betis	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.