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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Angers
T T T T T
3–1
Full-time
Dijon
T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 18. · Dijon 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 4 3 0 1 +1 9
2 Monaco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Guingamp 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Paris SG 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Nice 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Lyon 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Caen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Metz 3 2 0 1 +0 6
9 Toulouse 3 1 2 0 +3 5
10 St Etienne 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Marseille 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Rennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
13 Lille 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Montpellier 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Dijon 3 1 0 2 +0 3
16 Bastia 3 1 0 2 +0 3
17 Nantes 3 1 0 2 -1 3
18 Angers 3 0 0 3 -4 0
19 Lorient 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Nancy 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Dijon
8′
F. Sammaritano 0–1
L. Diony
1–1 F. Diedhiou
T. Mangani
15′
18′
🟨 Vincent Ruefli
Billy Ketkeophomphone 🟨
19′
30′
🟨 Cédric Varrault
Billy Ketkeophomphone 🟨
34′
Billy Ketkeophomphone 🟥
34′
38′
🔁 D. Bahamboula
↦ R. Amalfitano
Half-time 1–1
N. Pepe 🔁
↦ B. Santamaria
46′
48′
🟨 Jordan Marié
51′
🟨 Jordan Marié
51′
🟥 Jordan Marié
54′
🔁 M. Abeid
↦ F. Sammaritano
2–1 C. N'Doye
N. Pepe
67′
Cheikh N'Doye 🟨
68′
D. Nwakaeme 🔁
↦ F. Diedhiou
70′
74′
🔁 P. Lees Melou
↦ Júlio Tavares
3–1 K. Toko Ekambi
T. Mangani
75′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-3-3
16 M. Michel G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
5 T. Mangani M
17 C. N'Doye M
18 B. Santamaria M
14 V. Ketkeophomphone F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
19 N. Pepe
11 D. Nwakaeme
15 P. Capelle
1 D. Petric
4 M. Pavlović
21 P. Martinez
27 F. Dore

Coach: S. Moulin

Dijon

4-4-2
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
23 V. Rüfli D
26 F. Chafik D
21 Y. Abdelhamid D
15 F. Balmont M
18 F. Sammaritano M
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
11 Júlio Tavares F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
24 D. Bahamboula
17 M. Abeid
8 P. Lees Melou
1 B. Leroy
4 J. Lotiès
13 M. Martin
25 A. Bouka Moutou

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.