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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Welz

Leverkusen

S S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Hamburg

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 14. · Hamburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.