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Bundesliga
Referee: Jochen Drees
0–2
Full-time
Hertha
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 11. · Hertha 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 RB Leipzig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Hamburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Freiburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Ingolstadt 04 Hertha
Alfredo Morales 🟨
6′
8′
V. Ibišević 0–1
G. Haraguchi
Half-time 0–1
L. Hinterseer 🔁
↦ A. Morales
58′
Tobias Levels 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 A. Esswein
↦ M. Weiser
74′
🟨 Alexander Esswein
R. Leipertz 🔁
↦ M. Hartmann
76′
M. Christiansen 🔁
↦ Roger
79′
79′
🔁 J. Schieber
↦ V. Ibišević
81′
🔁 J. Hegeler
↦ N. Stark
86′
J. Schieber 0–2
G. Haraguchi
Markus Suttner 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FC Ingolstadt 04

4-3-3
1 Ø. Nyland G
28 T. Levels D
34 M. Matip D
29 M. Suttner D
32 M. Tisserand D
8 Roger M
6 A. Morales M
10 P. Groß F
11 D. Lezcano F
9 M. Hartmann F
7 M. Leckie M
Bench (7)
16 L. Hinterseer
13 R. Leipertz
19 M. Christiansen
3 A. Jung
18 R. Brégerie
24 F. Buntic
36 A. Cohen

Coach: M. Kauczinski

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
23 M. Weiser D
25 J. Brooks D
5 N. Stark D
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
7 A. Esswein
16 J. Schieber
13 J. Hegeler
8 S. Kalou
14 V. Stocker
20 Allan
29 Nils-Jonathan Körber

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochen Drees · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.