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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 49%

74%

23%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

40%

69%

Both score Ø 49%

31%

66%

Average goals

2,1

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

6 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Vallecano 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	36	26	6	4	+73	84
2	Barcelona	35	26	4	5	+73	82
3	Ath Madrid	35	26	4	5	+43	82
4	Villarreal	35	17	10	8	+11	61
5	Celta	35	16	9	10	-6	57
6	Ath Bilbao	35	16	7	12	+10	55
7	Sevilla	35	14	10	11	+7	52
8	Valencia	35	11	11	13	+2	44
9	Las Palmas	35	12	7	16	-4	43
10	Malaga	35	10	12	13	-1	42
11	Sociedad	36	11	9	16	-5	42
12	Eibar	36	11	9	16	-10	42
13	Betis	35	10	11	14	-17	41
14	La Coruna	35	7	18	10	-14	39
15	Espanol	35	10	7	18	-32	37
16	Vallecano	35	8	11	16	-21	35
17	Sp Gijon	36	9	8	19	-24	35
18	Granada	35	8	9	18	-24	33
19	Getafe	35	8	8	19	-31	32
20	Levante	35	7	8	20	-30	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	15	1	2	+53	46
2	Barcelona	18	15	1	2	+48	46
3	Sevilla	18	14	1	3	+20	43
4	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+23	42
5	Villarreal	18	12	4	2	+16	40
6	Ath Bilbao	17	9	4	4	+15	31
7	Celta	18	8	6	4	+3	30
8	Las Palmas	18	8	4	6	+8	28
9	Eibar	18	8	4	6	+4	28
10	Espanol	17	7	5	5	-9	26
11	Valencia	17	6	7	4	+5	25
12	Vallecano	18	7	4	7	-2	25
13	Malaga	17	6	6	5	+6	24
14	Getafe	18	6	6	6	+3	24
15	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	+1	23
16	Levante	18	6	5	7	-4	23
17	Sp Gijon	18	6	4	8	-2	22
18	Betis	17	5	6	6	-5	21
19	Granada	17	5	5	7	-3	20
20	La Coruna	17	4	8	5	-5	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	1	4	+20	40
2	Real Madrid	18	11	5	2	+20	38
3	Barcelona	17	11	3	3	+25	36
4	Celta	17	8	3	6	-9	27
5	Ath Bilbao	18	7	3	8	-5	24
6	Villarreal	17	5	6	6	-5	21
7	Betis	18	5	5	8	-12	20
8	Valencia	18	5	4	9	-3	19
9	Sociedad	18	5	4	9	-6	19
10	La Coruna	18	3	10	5	-9	19
11	Malaga	18	4	6	8	-7	18
12	Las Palmas	17	4	3	10	-12	15
13	Eibar	18	3	5	10	-14	14
14	Granada	18	3	4	11	-21	13
15	Sp Gijon	18	3	4	11	-22	13
16	Espanol	18	3	2	13	-23	11
17	Vallecano	17	1	7	9	-19	10
18	Sevilla	17	0	9	8	-13	9
19	Getafe	17	2	2	13	-34	8
20	Levante	17	1	3	13	-26	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.