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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

Hannover

T U U T T

1–3

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hannover 16. · Hoffenheim 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Hertha	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Dortmund	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	M'gladbach	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Leverkusen	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Hannover	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Schalke 04	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Freiburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+0	4
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Dortmund	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.