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Serie A
Referee: M Di Bello
Lazio
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Udinese
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
62%
31%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
77%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
31%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 3. · Udinese 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 14 11 3 0 +13 36
2 Inter 13 11 1 1 +17 34
3 Lazio 13 8 3 2 +16 27
4 Atalanta 14 7 4 3 +13 25
5 Cagliari 13 7 4 2 +11 25
6 Roma 13 7 4 2 +9 25
7 Napoli 13 5 5 3 +6 20
8 Parma 13 5 3 5 +3 18
9 Verona 13 5 3 5 +0 18
10 Torino 14 5 2 7 -4 17
11 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 -3 16
12 Sassuolo 13 4 2 7 -1 14
13 Milan 13 4 2 7 -5 14
14 Lecce 14 3 5 6 -9 14
15 Udinese 13 4 2 7 -11 14
16 Bologna 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Sampdoria 13 3 3 7 -11 12
18 Genoa 14 2 4 8 -13 10
19 Spal 13 2 3 8 -11 9
20 Brescia 13 2 1 10 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Udinese
1–0 Ciro Immobile
Sergej Milinković-Savić
9′
35′
🟨 William Troost-Ekong
2–0 Ciro Immobile
36′
3–0 Luis Alberto
45′
Half-time 3–0
60′
🔁 Seko Fofana
↦ Rodrigo De Paul
Jony 🔁
↦ Senad Lulić
64′
Danilo Cataldi 🔁
↦ Lucas Leiva
75′
76′
🔁 Antonín Barák
↦ Walace
André Anderson 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
80′
82′
🔁 Łukasz Teodorczyk
↦ Stefano Okaka
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 Thomas Strakosha G
3 Luiz Felipe D
33 Francesco Acerbi D
26 Ştefan Radu D
29 Manuel Lazzari M
21 Sergej Milinković-Savić M
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
19 Senad Lulić M
11 Joaquín Correa F
17 Ciro Immobile F
Bench (11)
23 Guido Guerrieri
24 Silvio Proto
49 Jorge Silva
15 Bastos
93 Denis Vavro
16 Marco Parolo
32 Danilo Cataldi
28 André Anderson
34 Bobby Adekanye
20 Felipe Caicedo
22 Jony

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
5 William Troost-Ekong D
17 Bram Nuytinck D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
38 Rolando Mandragora M
11 Walace M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
3 Samir M
7 Stefano Okaka F
30 Ilija Nestorovski F
Bench (12)
27 Samuele Perisan
88 Nicolas
4 Nicholas Opoku
2 Francisco Sierralta
87 Sebastien De Maio
18 Hidde ter Avest
60 Jan Kubala
72 Antonín Barák
6 Seko Fofana
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk
23 Ignacio Pussetto
15 Kevin Lasagna

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,42
B
10,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.