Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Esbjerg
Aarhus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | +19 | 44 |
| 2 |
FC Copenhagen
|
18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 40 |
| 3 |
Brondby
|
18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | +9 | 31 |
| 4 |
Aarhus
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |
Randers FC
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +5 | 27 |
| 6 |
Aalborg
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 |
Odense
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | +6 | 26 |
| 8 |
Nordsjaelland
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |
Lyngby
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 |
Horsens
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 11 |
Sonderjyske
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -10 | 19 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |
Esbjerg
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 |
Silkeborg
|
17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -20 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Silkeborg
Esbjerg
Brondby
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Horsens
Esbjerg
Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Esbjerg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.