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Superligaen
Esbjerg
T T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Aarhus
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Esbjerg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
18%
53%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Esbjerg 13. · Aarhus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 17 14 2 1 +19 44
2 FC Copenhagen 18 13 1 4 +13 40
3 Brondby 18 10 1 7 +9 31
4 Aarhus 17 9 2 6 +9 29
5 Randers FC 18 8 3 7 +5 27
6 Aalborg 17 8 2 7 +9 26
7 Odense 18 8 2 8 +6 26
8 Nordsjaelland 18 7 4 7 +3 25
9 Lyngby 18 7 3 8 -8 24
10 Horsens 18 6 3 9 -15 21
11 Sonderjyske 18 4 7 7 -10 19
12 Hobro 17 2 8 7 -7 14
13 Esbjerg 17 3 4 10 -13 13
14 Silkeborg 17 1 4 12 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -19 Aarhus – Esbjerg 1–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.