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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Stromsgodset
T S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 14. · Lillestrom 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 24 16 5 3 +31 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 14 6 4 +20 48
3 Odd 24 13 6 5 +10 45
4 Rosenborg 25 11 8 6 +8 41
5 Viking 24 10 7 7 +8 37
6 Brann 24 9 8 7 +5 35
7 Kristiansund 25 9 8 8 +0 35
8 Haugesund 24 7 10 7 +5 31
9 Valerenga 25 7 8 10 -3 29
10 Stabaek 25 7 8 10 -4 29
11 Lillestrom 24 7 6 11 -9 27
12 Tromso 24 7 4 13 -18 25
13 Sarpsborg 08 24 4 11 9 -7 23
14 Stromsgodset 24 6 5 13 -16 23
15 Mjondalen 24 4 10 10 -14 22
16 Ranheim 24 5 6 13 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Lillestrom
11′
🔁 Aleksander Melgalvis
↦ Daniel Alexander Pedersen
22′
🟨 Joonas Tamm
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Moses Dramwi Mawa
46′
71′
Thomas Lehne Olsen 1–1
Ifeanyi Mathew
Johan Hove 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Tokstad
71′
Muhammed Keita 🔁
↦ Herman Stengel
77′
79′
🔁 Erik Brenden
↦ Daniel Gustafsson
Lars Saetra 🔁
↦ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
89′
90′
🔁 Frode Kippe
↦ Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-1-3-2
35 Martin Hansen G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
4 Duplexe Tchamba D
22 Prosper Mendy D
42 Jack Ipalibo M
11 Kristoffer Tokstad M
7 Herman Stengel M
20 Mikkel Maigaard M
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
10 Moses Dramwi Mawa F
Bench (7)
1 Viljar Myhra
3 Jonathan Parr
39 Lars Saetra
6 Henning Hauger
8 Johan Hove
77 Muhammed Keita
56 Mustapha Fofana

Coach: H. Pedersen

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Marić G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
7 Daniel Gustafsson M
8 Ifeanyi Mathew M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
14 Fredrik Krogstad F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
41 Vegard Storsve
2 Mats Haakenstad
13 Frode Kippe
15 Erik Brenden
19 Sheriff Sinyan
28 Magnus Knudsen
33 Aleksander Melgalvis

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.