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Serie A

Referee: F Pasqua

Napoli

U U T U U

1–2

Full-time

Bologna

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

46%

69%

Both score Ø 70%

62%

77%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 0

3 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 7. · Bologna 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	12	1	1	+18	37
2	Juventus	14	11	3	0	+13	36
3	Lazio	14	9	3	2	+19	30
4	Atalanta	14	7	4	3	+13	25
5	Cagliari	13	7	4	2	+11	25
6	Roma	13	7	4	2	+9	25
7	Napoli	13	5	5	3	+6	20
8	Parma	14	5	3	6	+2	18
9	Verona	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Torino	14	5	2	7	-4	17
11	Milan	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Fiorentina	14	4	4	6	-3	16
13	Sassuolo	13	4	2	7	-1	14
14	Lecce	14	3	5	6	-9	14
15	Udinese	14	4	2	8	-14	14
16	Bologna	13	3	4	6	-4	13
17	Sampdoria	13	3	3	7	-11	12
18	Genoa	14	2	4	8	-13	10
19	Spal	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Brescia	13	2	1	10	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+7	19
2	Lazio	7	5	2	0	+15	17
3	Inter	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Roma	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Parma	8	4	0	4	+3	12
7	Napoli	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Verona	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Udinese	7	3	1	3	-4	10
10	Sassuolo	7	3	0	4	+2	9
11	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	Bologna	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Spal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Milan	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Torino	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Atalanta	6	2	1	3	+3	7
18	Genoa	7	2	1	4	-2	7
19	Lecce	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Brescia	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Atalanta	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Juventus	7	5	2	0	+6	17
4	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Cagliari	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Roma	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Lecce	8	3	2	3	-4	11
8	Napoli	7	2	3	2	+2	9
9	Torino	7	3	0	4	-1	9
10	Milan	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Verona	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Parma	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Brescia	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Sassuolo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Sampdoria	6	1	0	5	-8	3
19	Genoa	7	0	3	4	-11	3
20	Spal	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.