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Eliteserien

Referee: Martin Lundby

Lillestrom

T T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

0,8

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 15. · Sarpsborg 08 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Odd	8	5	0	3	-1	15
3	Brann	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Stabaek	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Sandefjord	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Molde	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Haugesund	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Aalesund	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Tromso	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Sogndal	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Lillestrom	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Viking	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Sarpsborg 08	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Brann	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Stabaek	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Stromsgodset	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Sogndal	4	2	1	1	+6	7
8	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Sandefjord	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Haugesund	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Tromso	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Viking	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Lillestrom	4	1	0	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	6
3	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-1	6
4	Aalesund	4	1	2	1	-1	5
5	Molde	5	1	2	2	-3	5
6	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Brann	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Lillestrom	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	0	3	-5	3
12	Odd	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Stromsgodset	4	0	1	3	-7	1
14	Kristiansund	4	0	1	3	-8	1
15	Sogndal	4	0	1	3	-8	1
16	Viking	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.