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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Lillestrom
T U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Valerenga
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Valerenga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 25 17 5 3 +33 56
2 Bodo/Glimt 25 14 7 4 +20 49
3 Odd 25 13 6 6 +7 45
4 Rosenborg 25 11 8 6 +8 41
5 Viking 25 11 7 7 +9 40
6 Brann 25 9 9 7 +5 36
7 Kristiansund 25 9 8 8 +0 35
8 Haugesund 25 7 10 8 +3 31
9 Valerenga 25 7 8 10 -3 29
10 Stabaek 25 7 8 10 -4 29
11 Lillestrom 25 7 7 11 -9 28
12 Tromso 25 7 4 14 -19 25
13 Sarpsborg 08 25 4 12 9 -7 24
14 Ranheim 25 6 6 13 -13 24
15 Stromsgodset 25 6 6 13 -16 24
16 Mjondalen 25 4 11 10 -14 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Valerenga
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 Sam Adekugbe
↦ Johan Bjørdal
Arnór Smárason 🔁
↦ Daniel Gustafsson
68′
74′
🟨 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
82′
🔁 Felix Horn Myhre
↦ Mayron George
Erik Brenden 🔁
↦ Aleksander Melgalvis
84′
90′
🔁 Ousmane Camara
↦ Bard Finne
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 Marko Marić G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
8 Ifeanyi Mathew M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
7 Daniel Gustafsson F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
2 Mats Haakenstad
13 Frode Kippe
19 Sheriff Sinyan
15 Erik Brenden
28 Magnus Knudsen
88 Arnór Smárason

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 Adam Kwarasey G
18 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink D
3 Johan Bjørdal D
27 Pierre Kanstrup D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
8 Magnus Lekven M
6 Herolind Shala M
7 Deyver Vega M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson M
11 Bard Finne M
9 Mayron George F
Bench (7)
13 Kristoffer Klaesson
25 Sam Adekugbe
5 Efrain Juarez
14 Mohammed Abu
23 Felix Horn Myhre
28 Ousmane Camara
29 Mohammed Fellah

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.