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Eliteserien

Referee: Trygve Kjensli

Sarpsborg 08

U S T U U

3–3

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,0

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

47%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 57%

53%

60%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 4. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	16	9	5	2	+17	32
2	Brann	16	7	6	3	+17	27
3	Molde	16	8	3	5	+9	27
4	Sarpsborg 08	15	7	5	3	+10	26
5	Stabaek	16	7	3	6	-4	24
6	Aalesund	16	6	4	6	+2	22
7	Valerenga	15	6	4	5	+1	22
8	Haugesund	15	6	4	5	+1	22
9	Odd	15	6	4	5	-4	22
10	Lillestrom	15	6	2	7	-1	20
11	Sogndal	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Stromsgodset	16	4	6	6	-5	18
13	Sandefjord	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Kristiansund	16	4	5	7	-6	17
15	Tromso	15	3	5	7	-11	14
16	Viking	16	2	4	10	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	6	2	1	+13	20
2	Brann	8	5	3	0	+18	18
3	Sarpsborg 08	8	5	2	1	+11	17
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	15
5	Stromsgodset	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Valerenga	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Sogndal	8	4	2	2	+7	14
8	Odd	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	Stabaek	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Kristiansund	8	3	4	1	+3	13
11	Aalesund	8	4	0	4	+3	12
12	Haugesund	7	3	3	1	+2	12
13	Lillestrom	8	4	0	4	+1	12
14	Sandefjord	7	3	2	2	+1	11
15	Viking	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Tromso	7	1	4	2	-2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
2	Molde	9	3	3	3	+0	12
3	Haugesund	8	3	1	4	-1	10
4	Aalesund	8	2	4	2	-1	10
5	Stabaek	7	3	1	3	-5	10
6	Brann	8	2	3	3	-1	9
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Lillestrom	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Odd	8	2	2	4	-9	8
10	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Tromso	8	2	1	5	-9	7
12	Sandefjord	9	2	1	6	-11	7
13	Sogndal	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Kristiansund	8	1	1	6	-9	4
15	Stromsgodset	8	0	3	5	-11	3
16	Viking	8	0	2	6	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.