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Eredivisie

Referee: Sander van der Eijk

Utrecht

S S S T T

0–1

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

79%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

1,5

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 9

5 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	13	2	0	+40	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	2	2	+26	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	8	3	3	+13	27
4	Willem II	15	8	2	5	+2	26
5	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+7	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	6	3	+6	24
7	Utrecht	14	7	2	5	+7	23
8	Vitesse	15	7	2	6	+2	23
9	Groningen	15	6	3	6	+2	21
10	Feyenoord	14	5	6	3	+1	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	-4	19
12	Twente	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-15	15
14	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Zwolle	14	4	1	9	-11	13
16	VVV Venlo	14	4	0	10	-24	12
17	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-13	11
18	Waalwijk	14	1	2	11	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+14	16
3	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+12	16
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Utrecht	7	5	0	2	+11	15
7	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+5	14
8	Heerenveen	8	3	5	0	+3	14
9	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	1	2	+6	13
10	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+6	13
11	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
12	FC Emmen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
13	Feyenoord	7	3	3	1	+3	12
14	Twente	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	VVV Venlo	7	3	0	4	-9	9
17	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Waalwijk	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+14	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+3	10
5	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-2	10
6	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Feyenoord	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Twente	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Zwolle	7	1	0	6	-11	3
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	0	6	-15	3
16	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-15	1
17	FC Emmen	7	0	1	6	-16	1
18	For Sittard	7	0	1	6	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.