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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Sarpsborg 08
T U S U U
3–2
Full-time
Tromso
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
35%
69%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 14. · Tromso 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 18 5 4 +33 59
2 Bodo/Glimt 26 14 8 4 +20 50
3 Odd 26 13 7 6 +7 46
4 Rosenborg 27 12 9 6 +10 45
5 Viking 26 11 7 8 +7 40
6 Kristiansund 27 10 8 9 +0 38
7 Brann 26 9 10 7 +5 37
8 Haugesund 26 7 11 8 +3 32
9 Valerenga 26 7 9 10 -3 30
10 Stabaek 26 7 9 10 -4 30
11 Lillestrom 26 7 8 11 -9 29
12 Tromso 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Stromsgodset 27 6 8 13 -16 26
14 Sarpsborg 08 26 4 13 9 -7 25
15 Mjondalen 26 4 12 10 -14 24
16 Ranheim 26 6 6 14 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
13′
Onni Valakari 0–1
Morten Gamst Pedersen
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
25′
1–1 Kristoffer Zachariassen
29′
2–1 Kristoffer Zachariassen
Kyle Lafferty
30′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 Bjorn Utvik
Gaute Hoberg Vetti
51′
4–1 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
53′
53′
🟨 Onni Valakari
Steffen Skalevik 🔁
↦ Mostafa Abdellaoue
67′
70′
🔁 Marcus Pedersen
↦ Magnus Andersen
73′
🔁 Kent-Are Antonsen
↦ Jostein Gundersen
Jörgen Strand Larsen 🔁
↦ Kyle Lafferty
76′
80′
🔁 Aidan Barlow
↦ Juha Pirinen
86′
Aidan Barlow 4–2
Morten Gamst Pedersen
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
30 Alexandre Letellier G
20 Magnar Odegaard D
4 Bjorn Utvik D
5 Niklas Gunnarsson D
16 Joachim Thomassen D
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
15 Gaute Hoberg Vetti M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
48 Kyle Lafferty F
21 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
6 Nicolai Naess
13 Mario Pavelić
19 Kristoffer Larsen
44 Mate Maleš
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen
10 Steffen Skalevik

Coach: G. Bakke

Tromso

3-4-2-1
28 Jakob Karlstrom G
5 Anders Jenssen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
26 Jostein Gundersen D
15 Magnus Andersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
23 Eric Smith M
6 Juha Pirinen M
11 Robert Taylor F
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen F
30 Runar Espejord F
Bench (6)
1 Gudmund Kongshavn
3 Kent-Are Antonsen
2 Artem Sokol
20 Aidan Barlow
19 Marcus Pedersen
16 Sigurd Grønli

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.