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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Tromso
T S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Stabaek
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
34%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
69%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
28 Shots 13
12 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 11
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 14. · Stabaek 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 29 20 5 4 +39 65
2 Bodo/Glimt 29 15 9 5 +22 54
3 Odd 29 15 7 7 +8 52
4 Rosenborg 29 13 10 6 +11 49
5 Viking 29 12 8 9 +9 44
6 Kristiansund 29 11 8 10 +1 41
7 Brann 29 10 10 9 -1 40
8 Stabaek 29 10 9 10 +2 39
9 Haugesund 29 8 13 8 +4 37
10 Valerenga 29 8 10 11 -4 34
11 Sarpsborg 08 29 5 14 10 -10 29
12 Stromsgodset 29 7 8 14 -14 29
13 Lillestrom 29 7 8 14 -15 29
14 Tromso 29 8 5 16 -19 29
15 Mjondalen 29 5 12 12 -15 27
16 Ranheim 29 7 6 16 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Stabaek
Eric Smith 🟨
27′
36′
🟨 Emil Bohinen
39′
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 0–1
Hugo Vetlesen
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Runar Espejord
47′
58′
🔁 Ola Brynhildsen
↦ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
69′
🔁 Tortol Lumanza
↦ Hugo Vetlesen
Morten Gamst Pedersen 🔁
↦ Juha Pirinen
75′
82′
🟨 Kristoffer Askildsen
Marcus Pedersen 🔁
↦ Eric Smith
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-1-2
28 Jakob Karlstrom G
6 Juha Pirinen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
26 Jostein Gundersen D
15 Magnus Andersen M
23 Eric Smith M
18 Onni Valakari M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
11 Robert Taylor F
77 Fitim Azemi F
30 Runar Espejord F
Bench (7)
1 Gudmund Kongshavn
5 Anders Jenssen
19 Marcus Pedersen
20 Aidan Barlow
17 Daniel Berntsen
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen
36 Bryan Fiabema

Coach: S. Valakari

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 Marcus Sandberg G
2 Ronald Hernández D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
18 Jeppe Moe D
22 Sammy Skytte M
14 Kristoffer Askildsen M
8 Emil Bohinen M
25 Hugo Vetlesen M
23 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F
19 Kosuke Kinoshita F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
27 Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen
30 Peder Vogt
6 Luc Kassi
67 Tortol Lumanza
10 Youssef Toutouh
20 Ola Brynhildsen

Coach: J. Jönsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.